Total Fertility Rate and Gross National Income

Subject: Economics
Pages: 2
Words: 287
Reading time:
2 min

The distribution of total fertility rate and gross national income in both countries with the highest TFR and lowest TFR appear to have a negative relationship. The scatter plot and trend line confirm that the total fertility rate and gross national income per capita have a significant negative relationship in both countries. These findings imply that as the total fertility rate increases, the gross national income declines.

10 Highest TFR Countries TFR GNI PPP 10 Lowest TFR Countries TFR GNI PPP
Niger 7.1 $780 South Korea 0.9 $39,630
Mali 6.3 $2,280 Singapore 1.1 $92,150s
DRC 6.2 $1,070 Japan 1.3 $43,010
Angola 6.1 $6,780 Spain 1.3 $40,570
Somalia 6.0 $860 Italy 1.3 $43,260
Chad 5.9 $1,590 Greece 1.4 $30,430
Benin 5.7 $3,200 Romania 1.4 $28,350
Tanzania 4.9 $3,140 Finland 1.4 $49,720
Zambia 4.7 $3,500 Hungary 1.5 $30,310
Madagascar 4.6 $1600 Russia 1.6 $27,840

The contrast between the two sets of countries is the strength of the relationship and the degree of explanation of variation. The scatter plot and trend-line show that countries with the highest TFR have a weaker negative relationship than countries with the lowest TFR. In countries with the highest TFR (Figure 1), a unit increase in the total fertility rate makes the gross national income per capita decline by $480. Additionally, the trend line shows that the total fertility rate accounts for 4.43% of the variance of the gross national income per capita. In contrast, in countries with the lowest TFR (Figure 2), a unit increase in the total fertility rate causes the gross national income per capita to decrease by $49,223. Moreover, the trend line shows that the total fertility rate explains 26.63% of the variation in the gross national income per capita.

Gross national income per capita versus total fertility rate of the Countries with the highest rate.
Gross national income per capita versus total fertility rate of the Countries with the 10 lowest rates.